宏观研报

China PMI Wrap-up(November 2016)

时间:2016-12-19 11:25  作者:郑州证券开户网  来源:www.zhzqkh.com  查看:  
内容摘要:Stable expansion The November PMI readings suggest stable expansion in the Chinese economy. The official manufacturing PMI rose to a two-year high as businesses report better underlying demand, higher prices and greater confidence in futur...
Stable expansion
    The November PMI readings suggest stable expansion in the Chinese economy. The official manufacturing PMI rose to a two-year high as businesses report better underlying demand, higher prices and greater confidence in future outlook. The services sector also performed strongly in a promotion-heavy month, lifting activity in retail, logistics and transport. The Caixin PMI softened, but only marginally, from a two-year high in October. There are some risks to growth in 2017, ranging from a further softening of the housing market to uncertain external demand. But barring an all-out trade war, we expect growth to remain stable and reflation to continue. Monetary policy will likely stay on hold at the current accommodative level in order to support the growth recovery.

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